Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.056527 11.358596 12.855348 14.724537 17.027319 19.814130 23.510347
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.091554 9.729095 11.805699 14.713954 18.827242 24.693508 34.248436
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.956570 8.691368 11.031924 14.571365 20.099750 29.068766 46.582247
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.384715 8.234889 10.865754 15.124329 22.425027 35.919971 68.299693
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.675951 7.463051 10.087627 14.523859 22.615168 39.023201 85.370036
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.094832 6.796089 9.356328 13.831095 22.406856 41.203596 102.901419
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.671645 6.313733 8.840924 13.398502 22.559346 44.274357 128.416065
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.392465 6.018987 8.582640 13.365903 23.506383 49.857915 176.817499
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.360982 6.101323 8.945792 14.542629 27.481881 66.971299 369.517986
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.251187 6.044562 9.060726 15.256524 30.673588 85.294270 834.385142
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.057022 5.830337 8.870149 15.300382 32.153709 99.048051 1815.977197
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.941035 5.735911 8.883799 15.785699 35.102905 124.649760 10567.876932
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.699984 5.429468 8.508241 15.421280 35.660764 140.923497 911859.416456
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.511187 5.203253 8.269978 15.359434 37.326198 170.947072 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.333120 4.980798 8.013357 15.203817 38.647123 204.962457 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.246393 4.912616 8.051769 15.792822 43.184057 300.305056 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.054660 4.639852 7.647348 15.152933 42.403110 324.595222 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.871127 4.371161 7.229429 14.415724 40.931786 333.858980 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.727123 4.166964 6.929224 13.955940 40.561260 368.155775 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.630921 4.045310 6.791060 13.921310 42.201304 473.393213 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.641930 4.123846 7.084175 15.172920 51.349716 1178.343584 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.610847 4.119802 7.197651 15.933775 58.927542 3292.339593 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.533318 4.020713 7.088803 15.980555 62.199348 7725.738543 NaN